Friday, 23 January 2015

ECB stimulus move a gift to Indian stock market

Inflow in emerging markets ETF has been higher during the QE periods. Higher liquidity raises the chance of more money entering the country.

European and American markets were euphoric after European Central Bank (ECB) President announced a better than expected quantitative easing (QE) program. Market expectation was that Draghi would announce a 50 bn per month program which would run for a year totalling between euro 600-700 billion.
But Draghi surprised the market by not only announcing a QE package of euro 60 bn but also increased the tenure to September 2016 taking the total above one trillion euros. Moreover, Draghi has kept the option open ended till a ‘sustained adjustment to the path of inflation’ has been achieved. Analysts expect this QE to last much longer than September 2016.
Markets across asset class reacted to the news. While equity markets have moved higher, euro currency has touched a new 11 year low against the dollar. prices were hit by a double whammy; first was the 80 year high oil inventory level in the USA and second was the QE which made the stronger and since it has a strong negative correlation with oil, it made it weaker.
 
 

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