Showing posts with label CFD. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CFD. Show all posts

Sunday, 1 February 2015

Islamic finance looks to outgrow bad habits as it expands


After a year of landmark deals which are opening new markets for Islamic finance, the industry is under fresh pressure to address some of its shortcomings and prove that it is not just an imitation of conventional finance.
Born in its modern form during the 1970s, Islamic finance has boomed in the last few years on the back of strong economic growth in its core markets, the Gulf and southeast Asia.
Over the past 12 months it has shown signs of going global, as even non-Muslim countries have promoted it in the hope of luring cash-rich Islamic funds. Britain, Hong Kong and South Africa issued debut sovereign Islamic bonds; the industry's worldwide assets are now estimated to total over $2 trillion.
But with this success have come doubts over whether Islamic finance is living up to all of its principles. After all, it was launched not merely to make money, but to promote Muslim values such as equity, risk-sharing and social inclusion.
Those values may sometimes be getting lost as financial institutions engineer products which obey the letter of Islamic law - for example, a ban on interest payments - while mimicking conventional finance in many ways.
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Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast: GBP/AUD Stronger after Chinese Data

Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar (GBP/AUD) Exchange Rate Jumps after Chinese Manufacturing Data

The Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar (GBP/AUD) exchange rate advanced over the weekend as China’s Manufacturing PMI fell flat, adding to calls for the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) to introduce additional stimulus measures.
China’s manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.8 in January. This is the first time the measure has eased below the 50 mark separating growth from contraction for 2 1/2 years.
ANZ economists noted; ‘China still needs decent growth to add 100 million new jobs this year, plus China is entering a rapid disinflation process. We (think) the People’s Bank of China will cut the reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points and cut the deposit rate by 25 basis points in the first quarter.’
The Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar (GBP/AUD) exchange rate was trading in the region of 1.9476.
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Saturday, 31 January 2015

Central Banks still on the makes, US NFP next


This past week did not lacked entertainment, although it was quite soft as just “minor” Central Banks played the currencies’ war.  The Singapore Central Bank eased its currency policy announcing it would take measures to slow the appreciation of the Singapore dollar. The Denmark one cut its rate for third time in two weeks, whilst Russia cut its benchmark from 17% to 15%, just one month after a surprise hike from 10% to 17%. There was no official announcement coming from Switzerland, but the EUR/CHF spiking 100 pips in an hour, almost daily basis, should lift suspects they are somehow working on weakening CHF.
Data was quite soft in Europe, with inflation in the EZ and Germany taking another step into deflation. In the US, macroeconomic readings were far from bright, except when it came to confidence: Americans are overly optimistic, despite the first year meeting of the FED brought nothing new.
The dollar continued its advance to multiyear highs against most rivals, with commodity currencies leading the slide, and EUR and JPY fighting back. But should be no surprise as both currencies in their crosses against the greenback had been largely oversold for months. At this point, seems more as some sort of consolidation/correction going on in both, in the middle of the dollar bullish trend.
The worse and the best word these days around the world is not growth, but “inflation.” Deflationary pressures in Europe triggered QE which finally decided to inject easy money into the markets sending local share markets strongly up. Low inflation in the US is the milestone to overcome for the FED to start rising rates.  There won’t be much on that front among majors economies next week, but there will be plenty of fundamental data that will provide information of how consumption is doing, and therefore where inflation is heading too. Everything will be read in regards of inflation, or at least most of it.
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Crude oil rallies over 1% but supply glut worries still weigh

Crude oil futures rallied over 1% on Friday, on the back of a weaker dollar but the commodity still remained within close distance of a nearly six-year low as ongoing concerns over a glut in global supplies continued to weigh.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S. crude oil for delivery in March traded $0.56 or 1.26% higher to $45.10 a barrel during European early afternoon trade.
Prices rose $0.08 or 0.18% on Thursday to settle at $44.53.
Futures were likely to find support at $43.58, Thursday's low and a nearly six-year low and resistance at $46.55, the high from January 27.
Oil prices have fallen nearly 60% since June as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries resisted calls to cut output, while the U.S. pumped at the fastest pace in more than three decades, creating a glut in global supplies.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, slipped 0.27% to 94.71, moving away from last Friday's more than 11-year highs of 95.77.
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Dollar index edges up, remains at multi-year highs after U.S. reports

The dollar edged higher changed against the other major currencies on Friday, as the release of tepid U.S. data failed to dampen optimism over the strength of the country's economic recovery.
In a revised report, the University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index ticked down to 98.1 in January from 98.2 the previous month, compared to expectations for an unchanged reading.
The UoM also said its inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 2.5% this month from 2.4% in December.
A separate report showed that the Chicago purchasing managers' index rose to 59.4 this month from 58.8 in December, whose figure was revised up from a previously estimated reading of 58.3. Analysts had expected the index to fall to 57.5 in January.
The data came after Bureau of Economic Analysis said U.S. gross domestic product rose 2.6% in the last quarter of 2014, down from a previous estimate of 3.0% and from a growth rate of 5.0% in the three months to September.
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Friday, 30 January 2015

Dutch companies to develop small scale LNG

Dutch companies VEKA Group, Deen Shipping and IUVENIS have joined forces with Peter Goedvolk, and will cooperate in the field of trade, transport and bunkering of small scale LNG in Northwest Europe.
Goedvolk recently established Count, a commodity, trading and logistics company.
VEKA Group and Deen Shipping previously launched an LNG company, LNG Bunkering Service B.V. and announced the construction of the first LNG bunker tanker, LNG PRIME.
The LNG PRIME will be active in the Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Antwerp (ARA) region, bunkering seagoing vessels as early as the start of 2016.

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Pound Sterling to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD) Exchange Rate Forecast: ‘Loonie’ Tumbles on GDP Data

he Pound Sterling to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate advanced to 1.92 after GDP data out of the North American nation came in below forecasts.
Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted in November as manufacturing dropped the most since January 2009 and as the economy suffered from declines in mining and oil and gas extraction.
According to Statistics Canada the nation’s GDP contracted by -0.2% on a month on month basis, a figure that was worse than the unchanged 0.3%  forecast.
Earlier the Pound Sterling to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate surged to a new six year high on Friday as oil prices fell yet again.

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UK fund manager predicts stock market plunge during next recession

One of the UK’s most successful hedge-fund managers has issued a stark warning that the global economy faces a downturn that will be “remembered in a hundred years” and leave stock markets facing devastation.
Crispin Odey, best known for anticipating that banks would go bust in 2008, made his gloomy predictions in a missive to clients of his Odey Asset Management business in which he warns that the European Central Bank’s €1.1tn (£730bn) bond-buying programme announced last week will not stave off a slump.
 He is not only pessimistic about the firepower of the central bank to inject life in to moribund eurozone markets but also about China, where recent data showed growth had slowed to 7.4%.

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Waiting for the Fed

EUR/USD: heading towards 1.10 in very near term
In recent weeks, the EUR/USD has corrected far more rapidly to reach 1.12. Developments have accelerated in the eurozone, from the Swiss National Bank (SWB) withdrawing its floor rate and the European Central Bank’s (ECB) announcement of bigger-than expected Quantitative Easing (QE)), to Syriza’s sweeping victory in the Greek elections. All these events accelerated the EUR/USD’s fall, with a low at 1.11.
The ECB’s asset purchase programme of the ECB, it was bigger than expected at EUR 1,140bn through to September 2016, or EUR 60bn per month, with a possible extension if inflation does not recover near the 2% official target.

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Daily FX Trading Update: Japanese Inflation Figures Fall Short – Jan 30, 2015

The US dollar was able to advance against most of its FX trading counterparts when risk aversion extended its stay in the currency market. Traders are also increasing their long dollar bets after the FOMC retained its hawkish bias earlier this week. Data from the US economy was mixed, as the initial jobless claims showed a better than expected 265K reading versus the projected 301K figure while the pending home sales report marked a 3.7% decline. For today, the US advanced GDP reading is due and another strong figure might lead to more gains for the dollar. Analysts are expecting to see a 3.0% growth figure for Q4.
The euro recovered slightly in recent FX trading, despite weaker than expected data from Germany. The preliminary CPI showed a 1.0% decline instead of the projected 0.8% drop while the unemployment change report showed a mere 9K drop in joblessness. Apart from that, the previous month’s reading was downgraded to show a smaller decline in unemployment. German retail sales and French consumer spending figures are up for release today, with the former likely to show a 0.4% gain and the latter to print a 0.3% uptick. Also up for release are the Spanish flash GDP and CPI figures, along with the euro zone CPI flash estimates.

Gold regains ground as dollar softens, U.S. data ahead

Gold prices rose on Friday, easing off two-week lows hit after upbeat U.S. jobless claims data and the Federal Reserve's most recent policy statement, while investors eyed the release of additional U.S. economic reports due later in the day.
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for April delivery were up 0.46% to $1,262.10.
The April contract ended Thursday's session 2.43% lower at $1,255.90 an ounce.
Gold futures dropped after the U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits decreased by 43,000 to 265,000 last week. Analysts had expected initial jobless claims to decline by 8,000 to 300,000 last week.

The upbeat data added to optimism over the strength of the economy and fuelled expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin to raise rates sooner than previously thought.
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Dollar softens but holds near multi-year highs ahead of U.S. data

The dollar lost some ground but remained with close distance of a more than 11-year peak against the other major currencies on Friday, as investors awaited the release of fourth-quarter U.S. economic growth data, as well as additional U.S. reports due later in the day.
The dollar remained supported after the Federal Reserve indicated this week that interest rates could start to rise around mid-year.
The greenback was also boosted by data on Thursday showing that U.S. jobless claims fell to the lowest level since 2000 last week.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was down 0.10% to 94.90, not far from last Friday's more than 11-year highs of 95.77.
EUR/USD was almost unchanged at 1.1320 after Eurostat reported that the annual rate of euro zone inflation fell by 0.6% in January, after a 0.2% slip in December. Economists had expected an annual decline of 0.5%.
Core inflation, which strips out volatile measures such as food and energy costs, rose 0.5% on a year-over-year basis, but was still well below the European Central Bank's target of close to, but just under 2%.
In a separate report, Eurostat said the euro zone’s unemployment rate ticked down to 11.4% in December from 11.5% the previous month, confounding expectations for the rate to remain unchanged.
Earlier Friday, official data showed that French consumer spending increased by 1.5% in December, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% rise, while a separate report showed that Spanish GDP rose 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2014, above expectations for a 0.6% gain.
In Germany, retail sales gained 0.2% last month, official data showed, disappointing expectations for a 0.3% rise.
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Declines in RMB spot prices hint at downward pressure

The efforts of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) to stabilize the currency rates did not hinder the market from testing how low the renminbi can go during the last week of January.
The renminbi plummeted by nearly 2%–the maximum trading range permitted by regulators–during the Jan. 29 session after the PBOC set the daily reference price of the renminbi against the US dollar 0.0053 yuan (US$0.0008) lower to 6.1335 yuan (US$0.98).
It was the third nearly 2% drop during the four sessions of the week despite the PBOC's reference price showing a rise of 0.0049 yuan (US$0.0008) during that period.
The Chinese currency has shed 3.5% against the greenback in the spot market for the month as of Jan. 29 and saw a record 1.95% intra-session decline on Jan. 28.
Although the PBOC attempts to stabilize the price of the renminbi through the management of the daily mid-point price for the foreign exchange market, analysts said that the nearly 2% declines during recent sessions showed the bearish sentiment toward the Chinese currency.
They also said the concern that central banks around the world may decide to weaken their currencies after several countries unexpectedly introduced monetary easing measures.
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Crude oil trading outlook: futures head for seventh monthly loss amid glut

West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude were headed for the longest monthly losing streak since January 2009 as rising US crude oil output and inventories exacerbated worries of a global supply overhang at times of slowing economic growth. A firm dollar also weighed.
US crude for delivery in March rose 0.22% to $44.63 per barrel by 8:30 GMT, having shifted in a narrow daily range of $44.74-$44.43. The contract rose 0.18% yesterday to $44.53, but not before it fell to $43.58, the lowest since March 2009.
Meanwhile on the ICE, Brent for settlement in the same month slid 0.22% to $49.02 a barrel, ranging between $49.24 and $48.76 for the day. The European benchmark crude rose by 1.36% to $49.13 on Thursday, settling at a premium of $4.60 to its US counterpart. The gap narrowed to $4.39 on Friday.
Oil prices extended losses for a seventh month after US production surged to the highest in more than three decades, while OPEC stood firm and denied an obligation to normalize prices by cutting its own output. Saudi Arabia’s King Salman, who earlier in January succeeded the deceased King Abdullah, kept Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi at his post, signaling he will adopt no change to the kingdom’s oil policy. Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s leading producer, steered the group into retaining its production quota at 30 million bpd at a November 27th meeting in Vienna, in a push to defend market share and curb US shale supply.
US crude output jumped by 27 000 barrels per day to 9.213 million bpd in the week ended January 23rd, a record for weekly statistics tracked since January 1983. The Energy Information Administration also reported that US crude supplies surged by 8.874 million barrels in the week ended January 23rd to 406.7 million, the highest on weekly data spanning back to August 1982.
Inventories at the Cushing, Oklahoma storage hub rose to 38.9 million barrels, from 36.8 million during the preceding period. This was an eight consecutive weekly jump, pushing supplies to the highest since January 2014.
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Forex Market: USD/CAD daily trading forecast

Yesterday’s trade saw USD/CAD within the range of 1.2507-1.2678. The daily high has also been the highest level since March 18th 2009, when a high of 1.2755 was recorded. The pair closed at 1.2617, gaining 0.64% on a daily basis.
At 9:20 GMT today USD/CAD was up 0.28% for the day to trade at 1.2652. The pair broke the first key weekly resistance level and touched a daily high at 1.2663 at 9:05 GMT.

Fundamentals

United States

Gross Domestic Product – preliminary estimate The preliminary estimate of the US Gross Domestic Product probably pointed to an annualized rate of growth of 3.3% in the fourth quarter of the year. The final GDP estimate for Q3, reported on December 23rd, pointed to an annual growth of 5.0%. The latter has been the highest growth rate since Q3 2003, which reflected an upturn in consumer spending and investment. Real personal consumption expenditures rose 3.2% in the third quarter, compared to a 2.5% increase in Q2. Real non-residential fixed investment increased 8.9% in Q3, following an increase of 9.7% in the second quarter. Real exports of goods and services were up 4.5% in the third quarter, compared to an increase of 11.1% in Q2, while real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment expanded 9.9%, after a decrease of 0.9% in the second quarter, according to data by the US Department of Commerce.
In quarterly terms, US economy probably expanded 1.0% in Q4, following a final growth rate of 1.4% in Q3, which was reported on December 23rd.
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Thursday, 29 January 2015

Stock Market News for January 29, 2015 - Market News

Benchmarks eroded initial gains to end in the red as another decline in oil prices offset the positive impact of Apple's record earnings results and the Fed's encouraging view on economy and labor market. After concluding its two-day meeting on Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) provided a positive picture regarding economic growth and labor market, and also maintained it would remain "patient" before hiking interest rate.

For a look at the issues currently facing the markets, make sure to read today's  Ahead of Wall Street  article
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Egyptian pound plunges against the dollar to EGP 7.46

For the seventh consecutive day, the Egyptian pound declined against the US dollar in a Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) auction reaching EGP 7.46 on Wednesday, declining almost three piasters.
The US dollar exchange value jumped to EGP 7.5 in the National Bank of Egypt (NBE), while it reached EGP 7.5 in Banque Misr.
In the last week, the Egyptian pound’s value depreciated officially to EGP 7.34 against the US dollar.
The decreased value of the Egyptian pound started at the beginning of last week when the CBE devaluated the US dollar value to EGP 7.19 in an auction.
Market analyst Moustafa Badra said the Egyptian pound’s decrease will boost investments by motivating the appetite of Arab and foreign investors.

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First day of trading for Sunderland-headquartered ScS

The Sunderland furniture retailer will raise at least £35m for its private equity owners by trading on the London Stock Exchange.
Sunderland furniture retailer ScS has launched dealings on the London Stock Exchange with hopes to raise £35m for its private equity owners.
The firm’s first market note said that its entire issued ordinary share capital consisting of 40,000,000 ordinary shares of 0.1 pence each will today be admitted, with dealings starting at 8am.
The listing by the company, which employs around 1,400 people across the UK, represents an exit for US private equity firm Sun European Partners LLP, which bought ScS out of administration in 2008.

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UK, Singapore welcome deeper cooperation in first financial dialogue

The inaugural UK-Singapore Financial Dialogue was held in Singapore, and both countries discussed issues such infrastructure financing and Islamic finance.

SINGAPORE: The inaugural UK-Singapore Financial Dialogue was held in Singapore on Wednesday (Jan 28). It was attended by senior officials from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), the Ministry of Finance, the United Kingdom's HM Treasury, the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. 

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PROGRESS to run "Islamic Finance in the wider economy" seminar

Nada Saeed, Managing Director, PROGRESS Training & Consultancy.

Half-day session offers an introduction to the burgeoning USD2 trillion sector Dubai, UAE: Progress Training and Consultancy, the UAE's premier professional training specialists, have today announced that they will be running a seminar, on 21 February, entitled: "Concepts of Islamic Finance". The half-day seminar is seen as an introductory session to the six-month, Chartered Institute of Management Accountants (CIMA) course that PROGRESS currently offers to career professionals looking to enhance their skills in this rapidly growing, USD2 trillion sector.

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